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4-11-24 Is Inflation Too Hot to Handle?

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4-11-24 Is Inflation Too Hot to Handle?

Video by The Real Investment Show via YouTube
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CPI Inflation clocks in hotter than expected, with more data to come; car insurance inflation is an out-of-the-blue surprise (unless you recently renewed your policy!) What does the Fed do next? Markets are pricing-in NO rate cuts in June…and maybe not at all this year. Markets trace the 20-DMA, building a rounded top as momentum slows; beginning to confirm a take-down of the 20-DMA. Economic growth is slowing; insurance inflation spike "smells like" an adjustment; it’s a lagging indicator. Homeowners equivalent rent is also a lagging indicator. It’s not a question of if, but when inflation will fall, but prices are still sticky. Inflation still a function of supply & demand, and there’s ample supply remaining, pushing prices and rents downward. S&P & Gold: The risk in slowing momentum; we’re still in a bull market (until we’re not)./ Markets are priced for 5-10% correction. There are no warnings from credit spreads, so far, but corporate loans are starting to show some concerns. What the Leveraged-loan Market is saying: defaults are on the rise. The NFIB Small Business Survey this time was really bad;. There are lots of inconsistencies in economic data. The impact of illegal immigrants on employment; gold is in a bubble.

3:02 – Inflation is Hotter Than Expected
14:22 – Economic Growth is Slowing: Normalistically
30:07 – The Risk in Momentum Loss
44:18 – Is Gold in a Bubble?

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/
"Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/
"Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break the Trendline?" is here:

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Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Be Saved?"

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